New Research Shows CDR Gap, Lack Of Progress Towards 1.5°C Warming Limit

New Research Shows CDR Gap, Lack Of Progress Towards 1.5°C Warming Limit - Carbon Herald
Photo by Magdalena Kula Manchee on Unsplash

A new study, published last week in Nature Magazine, indicates that current plans for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) are insufficient to meet the 1.5°C warming target outlined in the Paris Agreement, highlighting a significant gap in global climate efforts.

Despite efforts to draw down carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere, known as CDR, through various methods such as afforestation and reforestation, current levels fall short of what is needed to curb global warming effectively.

The research quantifies this “CDR gap,” revealing a disparity between the amount of CDR included in national climate plans and the levels required to limit warming to 1.5°C, Eco-Business reported Thursday.

While current CDR efforts remove approximately 3 billion tons of CO2 annually, projections suggest an increase to 1.9 billion tons per year by 2050 under existing national targets.

However, assessments of scenarios aimed at limiting warming to 1.5°C reveal a shortfall in CDR ranging from 0.4 to 5.5 billion tons per year by 2050.

This discrepancy underscores a lack of progress in mitigating climate change through CDR initiatives.

Relevant: Microsoft Publishes Guide To Better Corporate CDR Claims

Debate surrounds the role of CDR in addressing climate change, with concerns raised about its ecological and societal risks, as well as its potential to undermine efforts to reduce fossil fuel usage.

While some argue for increased reliance on CDR, others caution against it, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach to emissions reduction and CDR deployment.

The study also highlights challenges in assessing and reporting CDR efforts globally, with only a fraction of countries providing quantifiable scenarios in their long-term strategies.

This lack of clarity underscores the need for enhanced transparency and accountability in CDR reporting to ensure effective climate action.

Overall, the study highlights the urgency of addressing the CDR gap to meet global climate goals and mitigate the impacts of climate change effectively.

The insights from this research will be included in the next State of CDR report, which is planned for June 4.

Read more: CDR.fyi Releases Its 2023 Year In Review Highlighting Major Trends In Carbon Removal

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